Time to start fading my model. It’s been accurate in picking losers. So, the simple solution is to go with the opposite of its picks. The sprads are currently at 34.48 for model 1 and 42.86 for model 2. I’ll be fading model 1 for now.
I’ll add a faded spread picks section next week in the stats.
Version 1.0
- Over/Under Record: 54.24% (32 Wins – 27 Losses – 0 Pushes)
- Spread Record: 34.48% (19 Wins – 37 Losses – 2 Pushes)
Version 2.0
- Over/Under Record: 55.81% (24 Wins – 19 Losses – 0 Pushes)
- Spread Record: 42.86% (18 Wins – 24 Losses – 1 Pushes)
Minnesota @ LA Rams
- Over/Under: 48.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Minn -3
- Spread Pick: Rams (model faded)
NY Jets @ New England
- Over/Under: 41.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Jets -7
- Spread Pick: Jets (model faded)
Green Bay @ Jacksonville
- Over/Under: 49.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: GB -4.5
- Spread Pick: Green Bay (model faded)
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
- Over/Under: 46
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Atlanta -2.5
- Spread Pick: Atlanta (model faded)
Baltimore @ Cleveland
- Over/Under: 44
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Baltimore -9.5
- Spread Pick: Baltimore (model faded)
Tennessee @ Detroit
- Over/Under: 46
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Detroit -11
- Spread Pick: Detroit (model faded)
Philadelphia @ Cincinnati
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Cincy -2.5
- Spread Pick: Philly (model faded)
Arizona @ Miami
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Miami -3
- Spread Pick: Miami (model faded)
Indianapolis @ Houston
- Over/Under: 46
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Houston -5.5
- Spread Pick: Houston (model faded)
Buffalo @ Seattle
- Over/Under: 47
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Buffalo -3
- Spread Pick: Seattle (model faded)
New Orleans @ LA Chargers
- Over/Under: 39.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Chargers -7
- Spread Pick: Chargers (model faded)
Chicago @ Washington
- Over/Under: 44
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Chicago -2.5
- Spread Pick: Chicago (model faded)
Kansas City @ Las Vegas
- Over/Under: 41
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Chiefs -10
- Spread Pick: Chiefs (model faded)
Carolina @ Denver
- Over/Under: 43.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Denver -9
- Spread Pick: Denver (model faded)
Dallas @ San Francisco
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: SF -4
- Spread Pick: SF (model faded)
NY Giants @ Pittsburgh
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Pitt -6.5
- Spread Pick: Pittsburgh