Getting tough to keep up with the injuries, that’s for sure!
I hope you’re finding it useful as well and this is a thread you can discuss kickers.
Find my ROS ranking and Power Rankings here: https://welchanalytics.com/kicker-ros-rankings-and-power-rankings-week-11-update-metric-based/
HOW IT WORKS
The projections are done by multiplying the kickers fantasy points per game by a weighted average of stats for the defense the kicker is going against. You’ll find that these projections have a wider range of points than the big sites.
WEATHER IS NOT factored into the projections. Just remember wind over 15 mph, extreme cold, rain, or a combo of wind and rain, can affect kicking totals negatively. *I’ve added a column to show if the kicker is playing in a dome or not.*
Metrics used for the opponent defense are:
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- Points Allowed Per Game
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- Kicker Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
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- Extra Points Attempts Per Game
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- Field Goals Attempts Per Game
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- Red Zone TD % (LOW=more FG attempts)
NOTES:
Week 11 Byes: Chad Ryland, ARI; Eddie Pineiro, CAR; Graham Gano, NYG; Chase McLaughlin, TB
Younghoe Koo, ATL – Quite the falloff. The opportunities have been there, he’s just missing left and right. He’s 32nd in FG% this season. I had him on my drop list last week. Add anyone else you can.
Jake Moody, SF – 6 field goal attempts was great last week! 3 misses weren’t so great. Start with caution.
Austin Seibert, WAS – keep an eye on the injury report. With them playing Thursday, there’s a chance he misses. If he does, add Zane Gonzalez.
Brandon Aubrey, DAL – The concerns came true. Their offense couldn’t score. Aubrey will continue to make the FG when he has the chance, it’s just a matter of how many opportunities he’ll get.
John Parker Romo, MIN – small sample size from last week, but if that type of play continues, he’ll be in the top just like Reichard was the whole season.
| Rank | Player | Week 10 Opponent | Matchup Rating | Stadium | Projected Points | ROST % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Parker Romo (MIN) | Tennessee | 12 | Outdoor | 13.53 | 1.70% |
| 2 | Austin Seibert (WAS) | Philadelphia | 13 | Outdoor | 13.41 | 74.20% |
| 3 | Chris Boswell (PIT) | Baltimore | 10 | Outdoor | 12.72 | 98.60% |
| 4 | Ka’imi Fairbairn (HOU) | Dallas | 9 | Dome | 12.65 | 94.50% |
| 5 | Wil Lutz (DEN) | Atlanta | 3 | Outdoor | 11.13 | 86.40% |
| 6 | Daniel Carlson (LV) | Miami | 2 | Outdoor | 11.06 | 25.00% |
| 7 | Jake Moody (SF) | Seattle | 17 | Outdoor | 10.93 | 6.10% |
| 8 | Jason Sanders (MIA) | Las Vegas | 5 | Outdoor | 10.86 | 4.60% |
| 9 | Brandon McManus (GB) | Chicago | 4 | Outdoor | 10.58 | 15.00% |
| 10 | Dustin Hopkins (CLE) | New Orleans | 1 | Dome | 9.72 | 11.90% |
| 11 | Matt Gay (IND) | NY Jets | 6 | Outdoor | 9.62 | 0.10% |
| 12 | Jake Bates (DET) | Jacksonville | 14 | Dome | 9.40 | 2.10% |
| 13 | Brandon Aubrey (DAL) | Houston | 25 | Dome | 8.48 | 90.80% |
| 14 | Joshua Karty (LAR) | New England | 11 | Outdoor | 8.47 | 0.90% |
| 15 | Tyler Bass (BUF) | Kansas City | 18 | Outdoor | 8.31 | 92.60% |
| 16 | Blake Grupe (NO) | Cleveland | 16 | Dome | 8.14 | 7.60% |
| 17 | Cameron Dicker (LAC) | Cincinnati | 23 | Dome | 7.74 | 78.80% |
| 18 | Justin Tucker (BAL) | Pittsburgh | 20 | Outdoor | 7.57 | 54.30% |
| 19 | Harrison Butker (KC) | Buffalo | 21 | Outdoor | 7.48 | 60.50% |
| 20 | Younghoe Koo (ATL) | Denver | 19 | Outdoor | 7.34 | 11.00% |
| 21 | Cam Little (JAC) | Detroit | 8 | Dome | 7.16 | 50.80% |
| 22 | Joey Slye (NE) | LA Rams | 15 | Outdoor | 6.89 | 4.30% |
| 23 | Evan McPherson (CIN) | LA Chargers | 24 | Dome | 6.18 | 59.80% |
| 24 | Jason Myers (SEA) | San Francisco | 22 | Outdoor | 6.01 | 60.50% |
| 25 | Spencer Shrader (NYJ) | Indianapolis | 7 | Outdoor | 5.73 | 12.20% |
| 26 | Cairo Santos (CHI) | Green Bay | 26 | Outdoor | 5.13 | 3.50% |
| 27 | Jake Elliott (PHI) | Washington | 27 | Outdoor | 4.64 | 45.40% |
| 28 | Nick Folk (TEN) | Minnesota | 28 | Outdoor | 4.55 | 1.30% |