I started this as a fun way to dive into kicker scoring and find a way to project outcomes. It’s been a fun way to spend my Tuesday evening to fill the no football void!
THESE ARE NOT WEEK 13 Rankings, find them in my next article.
A common misconception is to find the kicker on the team who scores the most points. I believe there’s more to it than that.
Here’s a quick breakdown of the top 5 scoring teams and where their kicker (active) ranks in fantasy points per game
- Detroit –> Kicker PPG Rank: 10
- Baltimore –> Kicker PPG Rank: 15
- Buffalo –> Kicker PPG Rank: 12
- Tampa Bay –> Kicker PPG Rank: 14
- Washington –> Kicker PPG Rank: 1
Now, let’s look at the top 5 kickers (active) in PPG and compare it to their team’s PPG
- Austin Seibert –> Team PPG Rank: 5
- Chris Boswell –> Team PPG Rank: 14
- Anders Carlson –> Team PPG Rank: 27
- Ka’imi Fairbairn –> Team PPG Rank: 12
- Brandon Aubrey –> Team PPG Rank: 22
Notes
Seibert, WAS – rough week following his injury. He still managed 9 points despite the miscues. This week will be very telling him. Will the Commies continue to trust him or become more aggressive?
Fairbairn, HOU – Another week over 10pts. Mr. Consistency at his best.
Jason Sanders, MIA – the stats I use compile the WHOLE SEASON, not just weeks with Tua. With Tua, he averages 11.3 ppg! He’s a great add ROS. He ranks 5th in my Power Rankings Individual Performance on the year as well.
ROS Rankings
I use the same stats I use for weekly projections to create these ranks. I create an adjustment % based on rankings of the remaining defenses the kicker is facing and do a weighted average to project their ROS Rank.
- Kicker Individual Fantasy Points Per Game
- Opposing Defense Points Allowed Per Game
- Opposing Defense Kicker Fantasy Points Against Per Game
- Opposing Defense Extra Points Attempts Per Game
- Opposing Defense Field Goals Attempts Per Game
- Opposing Defense Red Zone TD % (LOW=more FG attempts)
Notes
Byes: Players with * have had their bye weeks.
Week 13 byes: NONE
Drops: Justin Tucker, BAL
Adds: Wil Lutz, DEN and John Parker Romo, MIN
Keep An Eye On: Brandon Aubrey, DAL. Anders Carlson, NYJ – solid this year while kicking for SF and NYJ.
SOS ranking: 1=best, 32=worst
Playoff SOS: Weeks 15-17; 1=best, 32=worst
| ROS Rank | Player | Team | SOS | Playoff SOS | Rost % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | *Chris Boswell | Pittsburgh | 16 | 20 | 57.90% |
| 2 | Ka’imi Fairbairn | Houston | 19 | 7 | 91.40% |
| 3 | Austin Seibert | Washington | 14 | 9 | 50.00% |
| 4 | *Brandon Aubrey | Dallas | 20 | 8 | 92.00% |
| 5 | *Anders Carlson | NY Jets | 2 | 16 | 1.00% |
| 6 | *John Parker Romo | Minnesota | 7 | 25 | 3.90% |
| 7 | *Cameron Dicker | LA Chargers | 10 | 15 | 67.90% |
| 8 | *Jake Moody | San Francisco | 9 | 5 | 61.80% |
| 9 | Wil Lutz | Denver | 31 | 22 | 19.60% |
| 10 | *Chase McLaughlin | Tampa Bay | 1 | 10 | 47.70% |
| 11 | *Younghoe Koo | Atlanta | 24 | 13 | 72.80% |
| 12 | *Jake Bates | Detroit | 32 | 23 | 70.60% |
| 13 | *Jason Sanders | Miami | 17 | 26 | 51.60% |
| 14 | *Tyler Bass | Buffalo | 18 | 12 | 56.10% |
| 15 | *Blake Grupe | New Orleans | 11 | 21 | 7.10% |
| 16 | Matt Gay | Indianapolis | 12 | 18 | 14.60% |
| 17 | Justin Tucker | Baltimore | 30 | 29 | 96.30% |
| 18 | *Brandon McManus | Green Bay | 3 | 24 | 5.80% |
| 19 | *Jake Elliott | Philadelphia | 6 | 27 | 74.30% |
| 20 | *Chad Ryland | Arizona | 26 | 6 | 7.80% |
| 21 | *Evan McPherson | Cincinnati | 28 | 19 | 56.80% |
| 22 | *Nick Folk | Tennessee | 22 | 14 | 1.80% |
| 23 | *Joshua Karty | LA Rams | 15 | 11 | 4.70% |
| 24 | *Eddy Pineiro | Carolina | 5 | 4 | 1.60% |
| 25 | *Jason Myers | Seattle | 13 | 32 | 14.00% |
| 26 | *Spencer Shrader | Kansas City | 23 | 30 | 32.40% |
| 27 | Joey Slye | New England | 29 | 28 | 1.50% |
| 28 | *Cairo Santos | Chicago | 27 | 31 | 14.00% |
| 29 | *Graham Gano | NY Giants | 4 | 1 | 0.40% |
| 30 | *Daniel Carlson | Las Vegas | 21 | 2 | 5.20% |
| 31 | *Dustin Hopkins | Cleveland | 25 | 17 | 7.60% |
| 32 | *Cam Little | Jacksonville | 8 | 3 | 1.50% |
Kicker POWER RANKINGS
This is essentially performance on the season so far. A look back at kicker performance.
These are the stats that go into these rankings. I’ve added in player specific XP% and FG% this week (typically just used team versions of this). With some kickers being injured and players losing their jobs, I had to find a way to include this. It also balances out the rank a bit more as we don’t want a previous kicker’s stats to dramatically affect the new kickers ranks.
- Fantasy PPG
- Player 50+ Field Goal Makes
- Player FG%
- Player XP%
- Team FG Attempts
- Team XP Attempts
- Team Kicking Points
- Team Points Per Field Goal Attempt
- Team Points Per Game
- RZ TD% (looking for low % to increase FG attempts)
- RZ Attempts
| Power Rank | Player | Team | Opportunity Rank | Player Performance Rank | Overall | Roster % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Boswell | PIT | 10.9 | 3.8 | 7.3 | 57.90% |
| 2 | Ka’imi Fairbairn | HOU | 9.9 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 91.40% |
| 3 | Brandon Aubrey | DAL | 14.3 | 7.0 | 10.6 | 92.00% |
| 4 | Jake Moody | San F | 9.1 | 14.0 | 11.6 | 61.80% |
| 5 | Jake Bates | DET | 14.9 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 70.60% |
| 6 | Austin Seibert | WAS | 9.0 | 15.8 | 12.4 | 50.00% |
| 7 | Wil Lutz | DEN | 15.9 | 9.3 | 12.6 | 19.60% |
| 8 | Brandon McManus | GB | 8.1 | 17.0 | 12.6 | 5.80% |
| 9 | Younghoe Koo | ATL | 13.1 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 72.80% |
| 10 | Jason Sanders | MIA | 17.1 | 8.8 | 12.9 | 51.60% |
| 11 | Spencer Shrader | KC | 11.7 | 15.5 | 13.6 | 32.40% |
| 12 | Chase McLaughlin | TB | 15.6 | 12.3 | 13.9 | 47.70% |
| 13 | John Parker Romo | MIN | 11.1 | 17.3 | 14.2 | 3.90% |
| 14 | Matt Gay | IND | 17.0 | 12.0 | 14.5 | 14.60% |
| 15 | Cameron Dicker | LAC | 16.3 | 12.8 | 14.5 | 67.90% |
| 16 | Daniel Carlson | LV | 19.3 | 9.8 | 14.5 | 5.20% |
| 17 | Justin Tucker | BAL | 10.7 | 19.3 | 15.0 | 96.30% |
| 18 | Nick Folk | TEN | 21.7 | 8.5 | 15.1 | 1.80% |
| 19 | Tyler Bass | BUF | 10.3 | 20.3 | 15.3 | 56.10% |
| 20 | Anders Carlson | NYJ | 18.9 | 12.3 | 15.6 | 1.00% |
| 21 | Blake Grupe | NO | 18.0 | 15.5 | 16.8 | 7.10% |
| 22 | Chad Ryland | ARI | 19.3 | 14.8 | 17.0 | 7.80% |
| 23 | Jake Elliott | PHI | 10.3 | 24.5 | 17.4 | 74.30% |
| 24 | Evan McPherson | CIN | 14.4 | 21.5 | 18.0 | 56.80% |
| 25 | Cam Little | JAC | 23.7 | 13.5 | 18.6 | 1.50% |
| 26 | Jason Myers | SEA | 19.1 | 18.5 | 18.8 | 14.00% |
| 27 | Joshua Karty | LAR | 14.6 | 23.8 | 19.2 | 4.70% |
| 28 | Eddy Pineiro | CAR | 25.9 | 16.3 | 21.1 | 1.60% |
| 29 | Joey Slye | NE | 20.9 | 21.5 | 21.2 | 1.50% |
| 30 | Cairo Santos | CHI | 24.0 | 18.5 | 21.3 | 14.00% |
| 31 | Graham Gano | NYG | 20.9 | 22.0 | 21.4 | 0.40% |
| 32 | Dustin Hopkins | CLE | 23.4 | 26.5 | 25.0 | 7.60% |