Not the best time to fade the model, as the V 1.0 model went 10-6 against the spread last week.
The experiment continues and we will ride this out through the end of the year to see if something prevails. For over/unders I am comparing the two models and if there’s a consensus, I’m taking that pick. If there is a difference, I’m taking the more accurate model at the time.
Version 1.0
- Over/Under Record: 53.33% (40 Wins – 35 Losses – 0 Pushes)
- Spread Record: 40.54% (29 Wins – 43 Losses – 2 Pushes)
Version 2.0
- Over/Under Record: 54.24% (32 Wins – 27 Losses – 0 Pushes)
- Spread Record: 44.83% (26 Wins – 32 Losses – 1 Pushes)
Faded 1.0 Spread
Spread Record: 37.50% (6 Wins – 10 Losses – 0 Pushes)
Houston @ NJ Jets
- Over/Under: 42.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Houston -1
- Spread Pick: Houston (model faded)
Dallas @ Atlanta
- Over/Under: 51.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Atlanta -3
- Spread Pick: Dallas (model faded)
New England @ Tennessee
- Over/Under: 37.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Tenn -3.5
- Spread Pick: New England (model faded)
Las Vegas @ Cincinnati
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Cincy -7
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas (model faded)
Denver @ Baltimore
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Baltimore -8.5
- Spread Pick: Baltimore (model faded)
LA Chargers @ Cleveland
- Over/Under: 41.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Chargers -1.5
- Spread Pick: Chargers (model faded)
New Orleans @ Carolina
- Over/Under: 43.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: NO -7
- Spread Pick: New Orleans (model faded)
Miami @ Buffalo
- Over/Under: 48.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Buffalo -6
- Spread Pick: Miami (model faded)
Washington @ NY Giants
- Over/Under: 44.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Washington -4
- Spread Pick: Washington (model faded)
Chicago @ Arizona
- Over/Under: 44.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Arizona -1
- Spread Pick: Chicago (model faded)
Jacksonville @ Philadelphia
- Over/Under: 45.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Philly -7.5
- Spread Pick: Jacksonville (model faded)
LA Rams @ Seattle
- Over/Under: 48.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Seattle -1
- Spread Pick: LA Rams (model faded)
Detroit @ Green Bay
- Over/Under: 48.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: Detroit -3
- Spread Pick: Detroit (model faded)
Indianapolis @ Minnesota
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Over/Under Pick: Over
- Spread: Minn -5
- Spread Pick: Indy (model faded)
Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
- Over/Under: 45.5
- Over/Under Pick: Under
- Spread: KC -8.5
- Spread Pick: KC (model faded)