NFL Week 9 Fantasy Kicker Rankings – Metric Based Projections

This is my 4th week of kicker projections, and it’s been fun so far (for a stats nerd). I hope you’re finding it useful as well. These were originally posted on Reddit now I’m posting here as well.

If you’re wondering my thoughts on kickers, ask away!

HOW IT WORKS

The projections are done by multiplying the kickers fantasy points per game by a weighted average of stats for the defense the kicker is going against.

WEATHER IS NOT factored into these projections. Just remember wind over 15 mph, extreme cold, rain, or a combo of wind and rain, can affect kicking totals negatively.

Metrics used for the opponent defense are:

  • Points Allowed Per Game
  • Kicker Fantasy Points Against Per Game
  • Extra Points Attempts Per Game
  • Field Goals Attempts Per Game
  • Red Zone TD % (LOW=more FG attempts)

NOTES:

Byes: Chris Boswell, PIT and Anders Carlson, SF

Kicker Showdown: Aubrey vs Koo could be a BANGER this week! Expect fireworks, whatever that means in terms of fantasy kicker scoring.

RankPlayerTeamWeek 9 OpponentMatchup RatingProjected PointsROST %
1Brandon AubreyDALAtlanta416.5894.30%
2Austin SeibertWASNY Giants1813.9958.00%
3Ka’imi FairbairnHOUNY Jets1113.6991.00%
4Younghoe KooATLDallas113.4386.80%
5Wil LutzDENBaltimore912.0114.60%
6Harrison ButkerKCTampa Bay611.6391.70%
7Will ReichardMINIndianapolis1511.5418.20%
8Cameron DickerLACCleveland1711.1055.90%
9Blake GrupeNOCarolina510.875.80%
10Tyler BassBUFMiami810.2550.00%
11Evan McPhersonCINLas Vegas79.4882.10%
12Chad RylandARIChicago168.950.70%
13Daniel CarlsonLVCincinnati218.177.80%
14Cairo SantosCHIArizona128.0313.30%
15Cam LittleJACPhiladelphia208.032.40%
16Nick FolkTENNew England137.941.90%
17Brandon McManusGBDetroit277.9010.90%
18Chase McLaughlinTBKansas City267.8449.50%
19Jake ElliottPHIJacksonville137.8364.60%
20Joey SlyeNETennessee107.680.90%
21Eddy PineiroCARNew Orleans37.432.00%
22Dustin HopkinsCLELA Chargers227.1010.30%
23Jake BatesDETGreen Bay287.0642.40%
24Jason MyersSEALA Rams256.995.80%
25Justin TuckerBALDenver326.1898.80%
26Greg JosephNYGWashington296.141.10%
27Joshua KartyLARSeattle235.632.40%
28Jason SandersMIABuffalo305.4415.70%
29Matt GayINDMinnesota315.3812.00%
30Greg ZuerleinNYJHouston244.4826.80%

Sources: FantasyPros and TeamRankings.com

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