This is my 4th week of kicker projections, and it’s been fun so far (for a stats nerd). I hope you’re finding it useful as well. These were originally posted on Reddit now I’m posting here as well.
If you’re wondering my thoughts on kickers, ask away!
HOW IT WORKS
The projections are done by multiplying the kickers fantasy points per game by a weighted average of stats for the defense the kicker is going against.
WEATHER IS NOT factored into these projections. Just remember wind over 15 mph, extreme cold, rain, or a combo of wind and rain, can affect kicking totals negatively.
Metrics used for the opponent defense are:
- Points Allowed Per Game
- Kicker Fantasy Points Against Per Game
- Extra Points Attempts Per Game
- Field Goals Attempts Per Game
- Red Zone TD % (LOW=more FG attempts)
NOTES:
Byes: Chris Boswell, PIT and Anders Carlson, SF
Kicker Showdown: Aubrey vs Koo could be a BANGER this week! Expect fireworks, whatever that means in terms of fantasy kicker scoring.
Rank | Player | Team | Week 9 Opponent | Matchup Rating | Projected Points | ROST % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Brandon Aubrey | DAL | Atlanta | 4 | 16.58 | 94.30% |
2 | Austin Seibert | WAS | NY Giants | 18 | 13.99 | 58.00% |
3 | Ka’imi Fairbairn | HOU | NY Jets | 11 | 13.69 | 91.00% |
4 | Younghoe Koo | ATL | Dallas | 1 | 13.43 | 86.80% |
5 | Wil Lutz | DEN | Baltimore | 9 | 12.01 | 14.60% |
6 | Harrison Butker | KC | Tampa Bay | 6 | 11.63 | 91.70% |
7 | Will Reichard | MIN | Indianapolis | 15 | 11.54 | 18.20% |
8 | Cameron Dicker | LAC | Cleveland | 17 | 11.10 | 55.90% |
9 | Blake Grupe | NO | Carolina | 5 | 10.87 | 5.80% |
10 | Tyler Bass | BUF | Miami | 8 | 10.25 | 50.00% |
11 | Evan McPherson | CIN | Las Vegas | 7 | 9.48 | 82.10% |
12 | Chad Ryland | ARI | Chicago | 16 | 8.95 | 0.70% |
13 | Daniel Carlson | LV | Cincinnati | 21 | 8.17 | 7.80% |
14 | Cairo Santos | CHI | Arizona | 12 | 8.03 | 13.30% |
15 | Cam Little | JAC | Philadelphia | 20 | 8.03 | 2.40% |
16 | Nick Folk | TEN | New England | 13 | 7.94 | 1.90% |
17 | Brandon McManus | GB | Detroit | 27 | 7.90 | 10.90% |
18 | Chase McLaughlin | TB | Kansas City | 26 | 7.84 | 49.50% |
19 | Jake Elliott | PHI | Jacksonville | 13 | 7.83 | 64.60% |
20 | Joey Slye | NE | Tennessee | 10 | 7.68 | 0.90% |
21 | Eddy Pineiro | CAR | New Orleans | 3 | 7.43 | 2.00% |
22 | Dustin Hopkins | CLE | LA Chargers | 22 | 7.10 | 10.30% |
23 | Jake Bates | DET | Green Bay | 28 | 7.06 | 42.40% |
24 | Jason Myers | SEA | LA Rams | 25 | 6.99 | 5.80% |
25 | Justin Tucker | BAL | Denver | 32 | 6.18 | 98.80% |
26 | Greg Joseph | NYG | Washington | 29 | 6.14 | 1.10% |
27 | Joshua Karty | LAR | Seattle | 23 | 5.63 | 2.40% |
28 | Jason Sanders | MIA | Buffalo | 30 | 5.44 | 15.70% |
29 | Matt Gay | IND | Minnesota | 31 | 5.38 | 12.00% |
30 | Greg Zuerlein | NYJ | Houston | 24 | 4.48 | 26.80% |
Sources: FantasyPros and TeamRankings.com